Treasury bill yields ease as inflation hopes strengthen

The Bureau of the Treasury fully awarded P50 billion worth of Treasury bills on Monday after robust investor demand drove borrowing costs lower across all tenors, signaling growing confidence that inflationary pressures may be easing despite lingering risks from energy prices.

Total bids reached P167.7 billion, or 3.4 times the amount on offer, allowing the government to comfortably raise its programmed amount while accepting lower average yields.

The benchmark 91-day Treasury bill fetched an average rate of 5.037 percent, down from 5.059 percent in the previous auction. The 182-day paper eased to 5.652 percent from 5.671 percent, while the yield on the 364-day bill declined to 5.912 percent from 5.950 percent.

The strong demand comes ahead of Wednesday’s release of July inflation data, which investors are closely watching for clues on the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ next policy move. The central bank expects inflation to settle within a range of 5.6 percent to 6.6 percent, suggesting price growth may have slowed from June’s 6.4 percent.

While higher oil prices and electricity costs likely kept upward pressure on consumer prices, easing food inflation appears to have tempered the overall pace of price increases.

The auction results suggest investors are positioning for a more favorable inflation outlook, even as they remain mindful of external risks that could keep price pressures elevated in the months ahead.

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