The Department of Agriculture (DA) is preparing for a possible moderate to strong El Niño later in 2026, warning it could reduce farm output, cut farmers’ incomes, and slow economic growth.
Agriculture Secretary Francisco Tiu Laurel Jr. said another El Niño is expected following the 2024 episode that damaged rice harvests, with the main concern now being how severe it will be.
Government agencies are acting on orders to protect food security amid climate risks and global uncertainties. The DA has directed its rice development program to prepare for worst-case scenarios, working with research institutions and other agencies.
According to agricultural officials, there is a 92% chance of a moderate to strong El Niño based on climate forecasts. Some models even suggest a possible “super” El Niño, which could bring extreme heat, reduced rainfall, and water shortages in key farming areas.
To reduce risks, the DA is reviewing rainfall and water supply projections and may shift to less water-intensive crops, adjust planting schedules, and expand solar-powered irrigation systems to support farmers during drought.
The agency is also coordinating with irrigation authorities to ensure water is properly managed during dry periods.
The preparations follow lessons from 2024, when agricultural output fell by 2.2%, mainly due to declines in crops like rice and corn.
Officials warn that climate pressures and rising energy costs could threaten food supply, increase prices, and affect economic stability. Early action, they said, is key to protecting farmers and ensuring enough food for the country.
