A tandem of former Vice President Leni Robredo and Senator Raffy Tulfo leads a potential matchup against Vice President Sara Duterte and Senator Imee Marcos, according to the March 2026 OCTA Research survey, though the race remains statistically close. Robredo–Tulfo secured 44 percent support, driven by NCR, Luzon, and Visayas voters, while Duterte–Marcos followed at 40 percent, buoyed by strong Mindanao backing. Sixteen percent remain undecided, keeping the outcome fluid. The March 19–25 survey of 1,200 respondents has a plus/minus 3-point margin of error, placing both tandems within overlapping statistical ranges, underscoring a tightly contested and regionally polarized race.
Robredo-Tulfo slightly leads Duterte-Marcos
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