DA sees slower farm output as El Niño risk rises 

The Department of Agriculture (DA) expects farm output to slow in the second half of the year as the Southwest Monsoon and a possible strong El Niño threaten production. Agriculture Secretary Francisco Tiu Laurel Jr. said the impact may be less severe than earlier feared because the peak of the dry spell is now expected in January, rather than November. “So far, so good naman tayo. No need to panic. We have enough food supply. Prices are actually stable,” Tiu Laurel said. The DA is preparing measures to help farmers cope with worsening weather, including solar-powered irrigation systems, solar pumps and aerators for fish ponds. It is also distributing quality seeds, fertilizers and bio-fertilizers to help sustain production. Tiu Laurel said the government is also expanding KADIWA ng Pangulo, which allows farmer cooperatives to sell directly to consumers. More cooperatives are joining the program each year, he said, giving farmers additional markets while helping reduce costs between producers and consumers. The agriculture chief also downplayed concerns over recent food-price increases, saying some of the rise reflects unusually low prices a year earlier rather than a sharp deterioration in food supply. Food prices were a major driver of headline inflation, which climbed to 7.2% in September, matching the level recorded in April at the start of the Middle East conflict. Tiu Laurel said palay prices, in particular, had fallen sharply a year earlier, hurting farmers. Current prices therefore represent a healthier level for producers rather than excessive increases for consumers, he said. Staple food prices remain generally stable, supported by adequate supplies, according to the DA. The bigger concern is what happens if weather disruptions persist. A prolonged dry spell could reduce harvests and eventually put upward pressure on food prices, even if supplies remain comfortable in the near term. For now, the government is betting that irrigation support, farm inputs and direct-market programs such as KADIWA can help cushion farmers and keep food supplies steady as weather risks build.

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