Franchising seen resilient despite slower 2026 growth

Franchising in the Philippines is emerging as a strategic bright spot in 2026, even as industry expansion cools alongside a moderating economy, according to the Philippine Franchise Association.

Sherill Quintana, PFA vice president and chair of Franchise Asia Philippines 2026 Expo, said the sector is projected to grow by 6 percent to 7 percent this year—slower than the 8 percent to 10 percent recorded in 2025 and the post-pandemic surge of about 15%, but still indicative of steady, sustainable expansion.

Rather than signaling weakness, the deceleration reflects a normalization phase, with franchising continuing to benefit from resilient consumer behavior. 

Quintana pointed to the so-called “lipstick effect,” where spending shifts toward small, affordable indulgences during tighter economic conditions.

This trend is expected to favor food and beverage, retail, and wellness franchises—segments anchored on daily consumption and relatively low price points. 

“In a slower-growth landscape, franchise models that deliver value, familiarity, and low-ticket, high-frequency offerings are well-positioned to sustain demand,” Quintana said, adding that some may even outperform despite broader economic headwinds.

The outlook comes as Philippine GDP growth is forecast to ease to 4.1 percent to 5.2 percent in 2026, reinforcing the importance of consumption-driven sectors. Franchising, with its scalable and replicable business model, remains well aligned with this environment, offering both entrepreneurs and consumers a degree of predictability.

Industry players are also looking beyond domestic growth. Franchise Asia Philippines 2026 is expected to draw around 300 exhibitors representing more than 1,000 brands, with nearly a fifth coming from international markets—highlighting rising cross-border interest.

A key development is a planned memorandum of agreement with the ASEAN Business Advisory Council, aimed at strengthening regional collaboration and expanding market access for franchise brands.

Quintana said slower growth does not diminish the sector’s appeal. “The industry continues to expand at a measured, sustainable pace,” she said, positioning franchising as a stable contributor to economic activity even in a more challenging year.

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