Palay prices in the Philippines inched up to P15.89 per kilo in October from P15.60 in September, following the government’s rice import ban aimed at boosting farm gate prices, according to data from the Philippine Statistics Authority.
Palay production for the third quarter is projected to rise by 18 percent year-on-year to 3.93 million metric tons, largely driven by a surge in output from rainfed areas, according to the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA).
The farm gate price of palay continued its downward spiral in July, dragged down by weakening global prices of the grain that have spurred a surge in rice imports.
The cost of producing palay—the unmilled form of rice, the Philippines’ national food staple—exposes deep regional disparities that mirror the effects of geography, infrastructure, and urban sprawl on the country’s agriculture.
The country’s palay and corn production for the second quarter is projected to record double-digit increases, the latest estimates of the Philippine Statistics Authority.
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The slight cooling of headline inflation to 6.1 percent in August from 6.2 percent in July provides a welcome breathing room, but it remains far from a signal for the central bank to ease its stance. Lower meat and vegetable prices helped pull down overall food inflation, though the decline was largely muted by accelerating rice costs and expensive transport amid persistent global oil strength. According to Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI) lead economist Emilio S. Neri, Jr., this temporary easing is unlikely to alter the trajectory of monetary policy. He says that the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) will likely stay on a tightening path, potentially raising the policy rate by 25 basis points in each of its final two meetings this year to hit 5.50 percent.
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