Stronger dry-season rice harvest expected as palay prices recover

The Department of Agriculture (DA) expects a stronger rice harvest this dry season, helped by the recent increase in palay (unmilled rice) prices.

Agriculture Secretary Francisco Tiu Laurel Jr. on Thursday said higher farmgate prices are restoring farmers’ confidence after a period of low earnings that discouraged planting. Palay prices, which previously dropped to as low as P8 to P12 per kilo, have recently improved to around P22 to P27 per kilo.

The DA said this price recovery is encouraging farmers to plant more in the next cropping season, which could boost overall rice production. The improvement follows supply-tightening measures, including a temporary restriction on rice imports late last year.

However, early 2026 production data still reflects past challenges. First-quarter palay output fell to 4.4 million metric tons from 4.69 million metric tons a year earlier. This decline was due to earlier low prices, typhoon damage in key farming areas, and irrigation problems affecting about 37,000 hectares.

To support farmers, the government continues to provide subsidies for fertilizer and fuel, faster input distribution, and financial aid. The DA is also studying a voucher system and promoting organic fertilizers to help reduce production costs.

Officials said efforts are underway to improve long-term productivity and food security. These include expanding the use of organic fertilizers, promoting a mix of rice and corn in diets to ease rice demand, and supporting local industries such as corn and coconut.

The DA remains optimistic that with better prices and continued support, rice production and farmer participation will recover in the coming seasons.

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